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Chinese Journal of Digestion and Medical Imageology(Electronic Edition) ›› 2026, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (05): 422-429. doi: 10.3877/cma.j.issn.2095-2015.2026.05.006

• Original Article • Previous Articles    

Preoperative adjuvant prediction of Epstein-Barr virus status in patients with gastric cancer based on the nomogram of enhanced CT

Yue Zheng1,2,3,4, Yiyang Liu1,2,3,4, Mengchen Yuan1,2,3,4, Yaru You1,2,3,4, Liming Li1, Zhe Zhang5, Yusong Chen1,2,3,4, Songmei Fan1,2,3,4, Jianbo Gao1,2,3,4,†()   

  1. 1Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
    5Department of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
    2Henan International Joint Laboratory of Medical Imaging, Zhengzhou 450052, China
    3Henan Key Laboratory of Image Diagnosis and Treatment for Digestive System Tumor, Zhengzhou 450052, China
    4Henan Key Laboratory of CT Imaging, Zhengzhou 450052, China
  • Received:2025-02-21 Online:2026-10-01 Published:2026-10-09
  • Contact: Jianbo Gao

Abstract:

Objective

To develop an individualized nomogram based on contrast-enhanced CT for adjuvant diagnosis of the status of Epstein-Barr virus(EBV) in gastric cancer.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical and CT data of gastric cancer patients at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, who were confirmed to have EBV status by gross pathological histology from December 2016 to December 2023. The patients were divided into the EBV-positive group (n=36) and the EBV-negative group (n=95). Two radiologists assessed qualitative and quantitative features of lesions on the enhanced CT. Consistency of the quantitative data was evaluated using Bland-Altman tests. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to screen out independent predictive factors and establish a combined model, which was then visualized using a nomogram. Discriminative ability of the nomogram and individual predictors was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the differences in AUC values were compared using the DeLong test.

Results

Good consistency was found between the two radiologists' measurements using the Bland-Altman analysis. The ratio of arterial phase lesion CT value to abdominal aorta CT value (Ra), enhancement homogeneity, and maximum tumor length were identified as independent predictors for predicting the EBV expression status of gastric cancer before surgery. Their AUC values were 0.620, 0.722, and 0.713, respectively. The nomogram combining these factors had an AUC of 0.817 and accuracy of 0.748. DeLong test showed no significant differences among individual predictors (P>0.05), but the combined model significantly outperformed any single factor (P<0.05).

Conclusion

The personalized nomogram established based on the quantitative and qualitative characteristics of enhanced CT can non-invasively assist in the diagnosis of EBV status in patients with gastric cancer and can be used as a supplementary tool for pathological detection.

Key words: Gastric cancer, Epstein-Barr virus, Nomogram, Computed tomography

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